I agree with your estimate. The man who navigated an open lifeboat the farthest distance is Capt William Bligh, RN and former Commanding Officer of the HMS BOUNTY. The BOUNTY was the third ship under his command to have mutinied against him. The BOUNTY was also the last ship he was ever allowed to command.
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QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!