Quote:
It is not a good use of statistics to assume that an infection rate (or a death rate for that matter) in West Africa would be of any use for determining rates in first world countries. The situation for both quarantine and medical care is SIGNIFICANTLY different.


Yes this is very true, I have been very conservative with the probabilities when comparing infection rates from West Africa to North American and Europe, it could be potentially be higher due to the following;

i) Potentially much higher population densities in Major Western Cities.

ii) Greater mobility and a higher probability of virus transfer between individuals.

iii) Greater secondary effects of panic and less stored food in individual homes due to CANBAN business practice.