That all said, Ebola is not even on my radar as threat to me, My DW or family. After all, statistically speaking, we have a much better chance of dying during the typical yearly Influenza season.
I am extremely concerned about Ebola.
The probabilities of death for a typically influenza pandemic.
Kill rate x infection rate
Ebola Kill rate 0.6
Infection rate (lets assume CDC projections of 1 million by the end of January) out of a West African Population of 10 million = 0.1
= 0.1x0.6 = 0.06 i.e 6% of the population will die in the currently affected West African Countries .
influenza Pandemic kill rate 0.02 (these probabilities were from a UK NHS document for a pandemic which the NHS would begin to fail)
Infection Rate 0.4
=0.4 x 0.02 = 0.008 i.e. 0.8% of the population will die (this is not a typical Winter Influenza Outbreak but one of a serious National public health emergency)
If in North America, you have >20-30 infected from Ebola in 1 months time, I would start planning to head for hills to self quarantine in 6 months time as a 6% death rate in the US would mean a highly probable collapse of Society as is now happening already in Liberia.
A report from just nearly 2 months ago.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaGnuZT08vQ
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