Originally Posted By: Arney
Originally Posted By: Brangdon
Forbes says it has infected 60 and killed 13. When does the 90% fatality come from?

A case fatality rate can only be calculated for people where you know the outcome. At the time I wrote that, 9 people had died and one was considered recovered. That's 90%. You could have a million more people sick with it at the same time, but until you know whether they survive or recover, it doesn't factor into that statistic.

When I wrote my post yesterday, there were thirty-something cases reported, so if you're seeing 60 cases in the press today, that's almost a doubling in less than a day.


Its 90% of those hospitalized as I understand it.

It seems reasonable that only people who are really sick will be hospitalized.

Those who get mild cases may not even realize what they have.
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Warning - I am not an expert on anything having to do with this forum, but that won't stop me from saying what I think. smile

Bob