Following this thread, I have been wondering - What are the success rates for treetop vs. water landings? Surely there must be some decent statistics out there somewhere....

In the absence of data, let me provide an anecdote. in 1954, a Navy antisub plane (Grumman Guardian) experienced engine trouble near Santa Rosa Island (California). The pilot put the plane in the water about 300 yards off a each on the southern shore of the island. All three of the crew exited the plane safely, made it to the island, and where home in time for dinner. The largely intact plane now makes for a very interesting dive.
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Geezer in Chief