This scenario also gives a case where "bug out through a devastated city" might actually make a lot of sense. Anybody who escapes the city before it is cordoned off might improve their chances of survival significantly.
Maybe. But people can surprise you. They may take the third route -- bug in and isolate, but not try to sneak out because of the off chance they may carry the contagion with them. This takes a lot of personal discipline, and it's not what we expect in the age of me-ism and instant gratification. But I really think a lot of people would be willing to take a (controlled) personal risk for the greater good.
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