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#94344 - 05/11/07 02:12 AM Readiness Levels??
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
My PERSONAL readiness levels are now:

5=definite threat possibility with no specific intel.
4=event could occur/start in 72 hours-specific intel
3=event could occur/start in 48 hours-specific intel
2=event could occur/start in 24 hours-specific intel
1=event could occur/start in 12 hours or is in progress.

CBR ATTACK: from terrorists or another nation-Defense Condition (DefCon) 2-Nuclear (depending on USA actions towards Iran + subsequent retaliatory responses).
No Chemical or Biological Condition set/needed.

TERRORIST THREAT: Threat Condition (ThreatCon) 2-(depending on USA actions towards Iran + subsequent retaliatory responses)

HURRICANE SEASON: early start of regular season- Hurricane Condition (HurCon) 5-no specific threats att.

CIVIL UNREST-No condition set/needed-there is peace in the kingdom (does not include the hazards from wild and/or domesticated ZOMBIE incidents).

ECONOMIC MELTDOWN-Condition 5-depending on many, many factors from many, many possible directions.

These are the possibles that could/may affect me. This is a "food for thought" posting. How many people (outside of this Bulletin Board) actually stop and calculate the threats and the possibilities of them occurring?

You'll notice that all volcanic activity (I'm not concerned with Yellowstone), Seismic, Tsunami, etc. type of events are excluded because South Lousy-anna is outside the realms of those types of STOPOR, at least for now...
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94355 - 05/11/07 03:16 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
Ponce Offline


Registered: 08/14/06
Posts: 43
Loc: In the woods of Oregon.
Be ready for all of them and you won't have to worry of any of them... however....."To be ready is not" Ponce
_________________________
"If you don't hold it, you don't own it"... Ponce

"To be ready is not"... Ponce

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#94357 - 05/11/07 03:20 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: Ponce]
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
I believe that by being ready for CBR Warfare, I am ready for anything else because, everything else has lesser ramifications.

But a steady diet of reviewing Intel and reassessing situations is a major part of readiness.
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94364 - 05/11/07 05:48 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
Ponce Offline


Registered: 08/14/06
Posts: 43
Loc: In the woods of Oregon.
And that's why I got the hell out of LA and into the woods of Oregon....... nothing to nuke here but Ponce his two cats and a bunch of deers, who would want to do that?
_________________________
"If you don't hold it, you don't own it"... Ponce

"To be ready is not"... Ponce

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#94365 - 05/11/07 05:59 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: Ponce]
ame Offline
Member

Registered: 10/15/05
Posts: 162
Loc: Korea
Shouldn't you have a 'Level 6 - All is well'? You only have 5 levels to choose from, and they are all pretty negative.

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#94370 - 05/11/07 11:25 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: ame]
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
There either is a need to achieve a condition when a threat is identified or there is no threat, hence no condition to achieve. I set and achieve a readiness condition when I feel there is a need to increase readiness.

HurCon 5 is normally set from 01Jun thru 01Dec because that is the "Hurricane Season".

If I were in an Earthquake prone area, I would always be in a readiness condition that would be appropriate for the amount of shakes that are normally occurring. That would be a tough call to make, at any rate.
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94373 - 05/11/07 01:11 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
benjammin Offline
Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
What is CBR? or do you mean NBC? Last time I looked, the govt was still referring to it that way anyways.
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools.
-- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)

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#94374 - 05/11/07 01:15 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: benjammin]
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
Chemical, Biological, Radiological (CBR) has replaced: Nuclear, Biological Chemical(NBC); quite a few years ago, around the early 90's. That occurred about the same time that radiological dose measurements changed from Roentgens to Rads.
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94381 - 05/11/07 01:29 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
benjammin Offline
Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
Different circles I guess. We were doing REM in the 80s, Rads were the 70s, and Roentgens were from the 50s and 60s, at least from my sphere of influence at the time. I must've missed the memo about switching the acronym, though.
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools.
-- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)

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#94390 - 05/11/07 02:36 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
BrianTexas Offline
Ordinary Average Guy
Enthusiast

Registered: 04/26/06
Posts: 304
Loc: North Central Texas, USA
Great Idea! Do you mind if I borrow it and update your model for the DFW area? I'd add a few:

  • Ice Storm Season (Dec - Feb)
  • Wildfire season
  • (Summer, but can be a problem in the fall) Thunderstorm/tornado season (April - July)
  • Drought/Heat Wave (Summer)
  • Tax-Free Shopping Weekend (August)
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Also known as BrianEagle. I just remembered my old password!

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#94397 - 05/11/07 03:42 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: BrianTexas]
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
That's exactly why I posted it!!! Thanks for the compliment.
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94410 - 05/11/07 06:06 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
big_al Offline
Addict

Registered: 01/04/06
Posts: 586
Loc: 20mi east of San Diego

Nice idea.

With all your time up there in the boondocks with the cats and deer, why don't you make a list of all the different (???-con) conditions and then post it.

It would be interesting to a bunch of us if we had a list like that and then set down and rated our personel situations.

I would like to add (TER-CON) I live in lower Calif. and this is a definite possibility.

Sorry, I just reread your post and you already had (threat-con)



Edited by big_al (05/11/07 06:09 PM)
_________________________
Some people try to turn back their odometers.
Not me, I want people to know "why" I look this way
I've traveled a long way and some of the roads weren't paved

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#94412 - 05/11/07 06:28 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: big_al]
BlackSwan Offline


Registered: 12/05/06
Posts: 37
I have such a list.
Awhile back, I spent/invested time writing down everything bad I could think of that could happen to me.
They were then ranked according to the probability of occuring.
Then I went through the list methodically and made contingency plans for each.

The back of the envelope ranking system:
If it had occurred to me or near certainty of occuring: highest rank
If it had occurred to someone I know: 2nd rank
If it had occurred to somebody: third rank
If I could imagine it could occur: 4th rank

Highest rankings are health problems, unemployment, financial busts and the like, not armegeddon.

Of course, then I learned about black swans, which made the whole exercise much less valuable.


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#94427 - 05/11/07 08:30 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
wildman800 Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 11/09/06
Posts: 2847
Loc: La-USA
There is a checklist attached to each condition of readiness.

HurCon 5: Automatically set at the beginning of Hurricane Season (01Jun) and is automatically secured at the end of the Hurricane Season (01Dec). Upon setting HurCon 5; I update my emergency supply inventory, top off all of my 5gal gas cans (stabilized), Swap out all of my stored water, update the Hurricane Contingency Plans, and review the plans with my wife.

HurCon 4: Set when expected landfall is within 72 hours and within range to affect me and my family. Upon setting HurCon 4; I go to Home Depot and pick up a sufficient quantity of 2" deck screws (if I'm running short), 1"x4" and 1"x12" pine boards to install shutters over the windows and doors (1"x4") that have them and to board up over the few windows that don't have shutters. I keep the vehicle gas tanks above 1/2 tank levels. Go to the grocery store and top off the pantry with normal foodstuffs. Insure that all propane bottles are topped off. Insure that battery supplies are sufficient. Insure that flashlights and lanterns are working.

HurCon 3: Set when expected landfall is 48 hours away and is close enough to affect me and my family. Upon setting HurCon 3; Review checklists for any missing items or chores that remain to be done. Top off all vehicle fuel tanks.

HurCon 2: Set when expected landfall is 24 hours away and is close enough to affect me and my family. Prepare our Hurricane Shelter area within the house (the main hall next to the bathroom). Secure all missile hazards in the yard. Tie down everything that needs tying down. Install shutters or board up all windows and doors, except for 1 front door and 1 back door. Top off all BOB's.

HurCon 1: Set just prior to expected landfall. Set up in the Hurricane Shelter (inside of my home) and start dealing cards, monitoring the TV (as long as power lasts), and radio broadcasts, monitor what the storm is doing in my neighborhood (from the safety of my house), for the duration of the storm. Be prepared to grab BOB's and run to higher ground, if worse case scenario were to develope.

That's the way that that I use this system which was started by DoD and is exercised by the military.
_________________________
QMC, USCG (Ret)
The best luck is what you make yourself!

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#94433 - 05/11/07 09:41 PM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
DBAGuy Offline
dedicated member

Registered: 03/02/04
Posts: 165
Loc: Colorado Springs, CO
I thought I was the only one getting ready for an outbreak of Mutant Biker Zombies.
_________________________
ZOMBIES! I hate ZOMBIES.

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#94672 - 05/15/07 03:40 AM Re: Readiness Levels?? [Re: wildman800]
ki4buc Offline
Old Hand

Registered: 11/10/03
Posts: 710
Loc: Augusta, GA
I'm hearing the B-NICE acronym

Biological
Nuclear
Incendiary
Chemical
Explosive

The list of things only highly trained people deal with. Everyone else run. Excuse me. Proceed slowly away in a calm and orderly fashion.

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