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#100128 - 07/18/07 07:21 PM Article: Chances lessen after 51 hours lost
jmarkantes Offline
Member

Registered: 05/02/05
Posts: 138
Loc: Portland, OR, USA
There's an article in today's Oregonian (local paper)- Odds grim after 2 days lost.

I don't think there's anything that surprising in there that we haven't heard on this forum before. It is kind of cool when you hear actual statistical research going into past events. Here they studied outcomes of over 4,000 search and rescue operations in Oregon. They didn't take into account physical conditioning, experience, nor survival gear. Didn't have the stats.

It seemed the summer months were worse off in outcome. Possibly because there are more hikers then?

The main lesson anyone can take away is to file a plan ahead of time, and if some is suspected of missing, get started sooner than later.

J

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#100134 - 07/18/07 08:26 PM Re: Article: Chances lessen after 51 hours lost [Re: jmarkantes]
Blast Offline
INTERCEPTOR
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 07/15/02
Posts: 3760
Loc: TX
Wow, I'm not used to newspapers having such good articles. thanks for the link.

-Blast
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#100155 - 07/19/07 12:55 AM Re: Article: Chances lessen after 51 hours lost [Re: jmarkantes]
a_m Offline
newbie

Registered: 11/28/05
Posts: 29
Loc: Ottawa
Here's a link to the abstract from the original journal article:
http://www.wemjournal.org/wmsonline/?req...2&page=0095

Alex

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