Originally Posted By: olddude
National Weather Service forecasters said they expect 13 to 17 tropical storms, with seven to 10 of them becoming hurricanes.

The forecast follows that of two other leading storm experts in anticipating a busy season.



Of course they could have the same batting average as last year's forecast (dead wrong!). I'm a little skeptical of this type of prediction. 13 - 17 tropical storms and 7 - 10 hurricanes seems to be pretty broad. How does that compare to the statistical data? I saw that they believe this forecast would have a 75% chance. I'l bet most years' actual storm data would fit into that range. If true, then how would this be more valuable than the average Farmer's Almanac?
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