#47374 - 09/18/05 04:51 AM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
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I could by into that definition. Mine was a little simpler.
Short term - <72 hours Medium term - <2 weeks Long term - <2 months
Anything beyond 2 months, and it is a lifestyle change and not just a survival situation anymore as we would define it, but now a way of life.
Okay, let's start a new thread now and see where this LTS thing takes us. I'll let someone else have the honors.
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools. -- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)
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#47375 - 09/18/05 07:12 AM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Anonymous
Unregistered
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I think that you have to talk about ideology before you have a frame within which to talk about ethics. If you are going to talk about 'long term survival', it leads to the question of long terms survival of what, and then of who, and sooner or later you are going to have to talk about 'the greater good' or you are being manifestly irresponsible.
The ethics comes in when you ask, 'responsibilty, to whom?' If the answer is "to me" I would think about that.
Don't get me wrong, my ass is covered, but if you have to think about what comes next. Shoot me -- I'm a lawyer.
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#47376 - 09/18/05 12:33 PM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Veteran
Registered: 12/12/04
Posts: 1204
Loc: Nottingham, UK
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I also think in just 3 "terms", with nothing shorter than short term or longer than long term. So for me surviving in the long term would mean surviving indefinitely. It would mean learning about crops, bee hives, rewiring power-generators, preserving knowledge for future generations etc. I find this stuff interesting, partly because I like science fiction, but it is not something I am actively preparing for. Although it includes the end of the world as we know it, it would also include the kind of skills that would let you survive in the wilderness for years. Much of it is Ray Mears-style bushcraft. The emphasis on sustainability.
Surviving in the short term would mean surviving the immediate danger. Getting out of the collapsed building, getting home, surviving the first night. The time period would usually be measured in hours, short enough that food is not an issue. Usually water and shelter would not be issues either, unless you are in the kind of hositile environment where dehydration or hypothermia are immediate threats.
The medium term is everything in between. The time frame is long enough that you need to worry about consumables - water, food, petrol, batteries etc - but your provision for these doesn't have to be sustainable. There should be some definite end to the crisis in sight, and the aim is to survive in relative comfort until then. You have enough time to think, take stock, plan and build.
So, for example, if the problem is shelter, a bin-liner could be a short-term solution, good to get you through one night. A small tent or built shelter would serve in the medium term. For the long term you want something that can take the worst of whatever the climate will throw at it, year in and year out.
Short term: a 500ml bottle of water. Medium term: water filter or large stockpile in the basement. Long term: a fresh water stream or well.
Short term: go hungry. Medium term: meals-ready-to-eat. Long term: fishing and hunting kits.
Short term: Photon keychain light. Medium term: Surefire's best with a stockpile of batteries. Long term: learn how to make candles.
Every-day Carry and Personal Survival Kits are mostly aimed at the short term, with some exceptions. Some kits include cordage for building shelters, which is more of a medium term concern. Fishing kits are long-term. Bug-out Bags are mostly aimed at medium-term survival. Deep bushcraft knowledge, such as how to build and use a fire-drill, is long-term. You can of course use long-term, sustainable solutions for medium-term and short-term problems.
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Quality is addictive.
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#47377 - 09/18/05 12:36 PM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Veteran
Registered: 12/12/04
Posts: 1204
Loc: Nottingham, UK
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Rather than focus on time frames, can you give some examples of subjects which are off-topic here, but which would be on-topic in the proposed forum?
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Quality is addictive.
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#47378 - 09/19/05 04:05 AM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
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Nottingham!!! Is this the first time I saw that? Man, you've got it almost as bad there as I do here. You must be a tough sod.
Cheers <img src="/images/graemlins/grin.gif" alt="" />
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools. -- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)
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#47379 - 09/19/05 01:29 PM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Veteran
Registered: 12/12/04
Posts: 1204
Loc: Nottingham, UK
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Hardly. I'm guessing you're talking about this kind of thing.
_________________________
Quality is addictive.
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#47380 - 09/19/05 11:26 PM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Old Hand
Registered: 04/05/05
Posts: 715
Loc: Phoenix, AZ
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Here is reason enough to be scared: http://actnow.saferworld.org/action/When you have Sam Nunn telling you the threat is real and could be now you better listen! Get the free DVD.
_________________________
Thermo-regulate, hydrate and communicate.
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#47381 - 09/20/05 05:30 AM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
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Lots of laughs <img src="/images/graemlins/laugh.gif" alt="" /> <img src="/images/graemlins/laugh.gif" alt="" /> <img src="/images/graemlins/laugh.gif" alt="" />
I guess it just depends on whom you talk to. Must be the sheriff spreading those lies. They've got a history of claiming Nottingham is full of criminals, you know.
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools. -- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)
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#47382 - 09/22/05 11:56 AM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Old Hand
Registered: 11/10/03
Posts: 710
Loc: Augusta, GA
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I would like a longer term forum. Since we have now had 2 category 5 hurricanes in the Gulf, and hopefully Rita will weaken significantly, it appears that widespread damage to infrastructure will be a fact of live in the next 25 years. We need to share more knowledge of what happens after the media stops covering the story.
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#47383 - 09/22/05 09:53 PM
Re: ETS v. Long Term Survival
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Journeyman
Registered: 02/19/02
Posts: 51
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Yes. Long term less the "politics" would be great.
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