However, there have been eight cases of human-to-human infection - in Germany, Japan, Vietnam and the United States.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-51318246

More perspective.


A deadly virus is spreading from state to state and has infected 15 million Americans so far.

(CNN)The novel coronavirus that's sickening thousands globally -- and at least five people in the US -- is inspiring countries to close their borders and Americans to buy up surgical masks quicker than major retailers can restock them.

There's another virus that has infected 15 million Americans across the country and killed more than 8,200 people this season alone. It's not a new pandemic -- it's influenza.

The 2019-2020 flu season is projected to be one of the worst in a decade, according to the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. At least 140,000 people have been hospitalized with complications from the flu, and that number is predicted to climb as flu activity swirls.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/01/30/health/flu-deadly-virus-15-million-infected-trnd/index.html

Flu is not effective at killing people.

8,200 / 15,000,000 is 0.054%.

nCoV current rate is a 1,000 times higher. More people are dying than recovering.

National travel is part of my job. I’m flying home tomorrow. So far, I’m not seeing anything that will cause me to curtail my work travel. But I’m watching.

No matter how you want to do the math, the flu is a bigger threat to almost any person in the USA or here in Canada for that matter. I would be far more concerned about getting the flu then the Coronavirus. And one thing about either virus - they don't care about the math and statistics and both can and will kill you dead when least expected.

Also, I rather heed the advice of Todd Ellerin, director of infectious diseases at Harvard Medical School:

In the US, the average person is at extremely low risk of catching this novel coronavirus. This winter, in fact, we are much more likely to get influenza B — the flu — than any other virus: one in 10 people have influenza each flu season. It’s still not too late to get a flu shot, an easy step toward avoiding the flu. If you do get the flu despite having gotten the vaccine, studies show that severe illness, hospitalization, ICU admission, and death are less likely to occur.

The bottom line

Given the current spread of this virus and the pace and complexity of international travel, the number of cases and deaths will likely to continue to climb. We should not panic, even though we are dealing with a serious and novel pathogen.

https://www.health.harvard.edu/blog/the-new-coronavirus-what-we-do-and-dont-know-2020012518747

Hi,
Who is your fact checker?

Redacted.

cnn.com: Currently, the case fatality rate for Wuhan virus is around 2% -- significantly smaller than SARS' 9.6% mortality rate. It's also smaller than Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS) -- another type of coronavirus -- which has a case fatality rate of 35%.

Redacted.

Source is WHO, CDC, ECDC (European CDC) collated by John's Hopkins University.

https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6

Total Deaths vs Total Recovered.

This should be concerning, but not much more so that the Flu. The outbreak is classified as Worsening, but not significantly outside of Mainland China. It will get much worse in China, and we will likely see an increase of confirmed cases in the United States but with all the action that has been taken to isolate the outbreak in place the peak will be in the next two weeks and will drop off significantly after that. Take normal precautions as you would during flu season and you will reduce your risk of infection significantly.

Good advice.

There is an article at: Novel coronavirus 2019-nCoV: early esti...mic predictions The key findings relates to the transmissivity of the virus. Any number over 1.0 indicates that the virus won’t go away on its own. The number in the article is estimated at 3.6 - 4.0; other numbers I’ve seen have been lower, 2.5 - 3.4. Both ranges are over 1.0 though which means nCoV won’t die off on its own.

Those numbers are necessarily estimated out of the infections in China, where it was allowed to run wild (for weeks) before any serious steps were evident. The human-to-human infection in the United States was between a husband and wife who apparently took no preventative measures. First human-to-human nCoV spread reported in US