Rational risk assessment is very interesting, but can anyone cite a real life instance where it made a difference?
Some people start AND END their prep with tons of guns and ammo. There are always these marauding gangs of cannibals, right? That's why you need to carry three different types of guns and 500 rounds of ammo when you bug out on foot. So I'd like to think persuading to do otherwise is a difference that rational risk assessment can make.
Maybe someone can tell us how to do irrational risk assessment?