?? Weather forecasting has been getting more and more accurate over the years. There is no comparison between the forecasts of twenty ro thirty years ago and now, at least where I have been hanging out. There is also a lot more detail in the forecasts.

Right now Southern California is forecast for strong Santa Ana winds, potentially up to 80 mph, starting tomorrow night and lasting until Friday. The special weather statement is quite candid about elements of uncertainty, which depend upon the track followed by a low intruding into the central portion of the country. I find it highly informative and useful. Right now, no one can say how hard the wind will blow, but it will indeed be breezy. I will act upon this infor and batten down the hatches.

Generally the inaccuracies in forecasting seem to be more about precisely when an event will occur, rather than whether there or will not be an event.

I also generally believe public health pfficials when they warn about a potential epidemic and get the vaccine if possible. It works for me.