#225818 - 06/12/11 10:33 PM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Frisket]
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Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 11/13/06
Posts: 2985
Loc: Nacogdoches, Texas
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There is no SET is stone situation/What if Role play from what I read. This sounds to be just a What should a person do if they came across another singular person who already has a camp set up. Atleast I believe this would be more productive and helpfull since this is a very realistic and possible issue one can come across. The questions they should ask themselves and what they should consider to observe for key information of the other person. I cannot answer until I have more information. Jeanette Isabelle
_________________________
I'm not sure whose twisted idea it was to put hundreds of adolescents in underfunded schools run by people whose dreams were crushed years ago, but I admire the sadism. -- Wednesday Adams, Wednesday
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#225821 - 06/12/11 10:57 PM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Jeanette_Isabelle]
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Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 05/05/07
Posts: 3601
Loc: Ontario, Canada
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I cannot answer until I have more information.
EXACTLY! We'd need at least this amount of caution before approaching in any way.
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#225833 - 06/13/11 01:22 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Journeyman
Registered: 08/02/05
Posts: 73
Loc: Minnesota
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Dweste just what are the "rule of threes"?
I'm a man and don't think like a woman, so I have to punt, but I would assess the situation using SAM and DOC (Strength, Armament, Mobility, Deployment, Orginazation, and Command).
Strength - physically is he large or small, what is his demeanor, if he is calm and unconserned he may be part of a group that he is relying on for security. Where as if he is more observant and looking around he is more likely alone.
Armament - What is visable? He has his tool be it axe, or fishing rod and one could assume a fillet knife at a miminum.
Mobility - It was said he was either fishing or chopping wood, giving the appearance he will be staying put for at least some time. Does he have a camp set up or is his pack laying on the ground indicating this may be just a temporary stop?
Deployment - Does he have a camp set up? Is there any visible evidence that he is not alone, like two cups, plates or packs out. Again his demeanor. Also what is the lay of the land? Can you approach with an advantage to either escape or fight if needed?
Organization - If he is solo then this is moot, however is there any indication he is part of a group? Like a walkie-talkie, or some other communication device.
Communications - Is he communicating, and if so how and with whom? Again what is his body language telling you?
Lastly when in doubt go with your gut instinct. IF SOMETHING FEELS WRONG IT IS. don't question it just react and believe in yourself. Your subconscious will pick up clues your thinking brain will try to rationalize away.
_________________________
It's a Jungle out there.
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#225839 - 06/13/11 02:09 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Pooh-Bah
Registered: 02/16/08
Posts: 2463
Loc: Central California
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In many circumstances, you may die from: 3 minutes without air, 3 hours without shelter, 3 days without water, 3 weeks without food, and, some say, 3 months without human contact.
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#225840 - 06/13/11 03:57 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Pooh-Bah
Registered: 09/01/07
Posts: 2432
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I don't see as disaster situation is more dangerous that any similar situation in every day life. If alone how do you estimate risks. As feminists very correctly point out rape is always a consideration and risk. Men alone or in groups are always something of a risk. Vulnerability and the presence of alcohol add to this risk. As do many other factors.
It has been noted that in a disaster situation, and until things regularize, many confirmed predators will tend to take fewer risks because they are out of their normal environment and comfort zone. Wind comes up, the creek rises, tornado plows through town, or a wildfire threatens and predators tend to go off their feed because the normal clues that keep them safe are mixed up. Unable to tell where super-predators are they take fewer risks. Even their normal complacent and unaware victims are stressed, hyper alert, jumpy.
After Katrina NOLA experienced a reduction of violent crime. Even the police, those few still on duty, noted that many of the neighborhood thugs were to busy helping family and friends to maintain their violent ways.
None of this suggests that predators, or opportunists, can't or won't act up and take advantage of a situation. As always you have to stay aware and trust your instincts.
I think there are no easy answers. Excessive suspicion, pushing people away who might help you, can hurt you as much as unwarranted trust. Always pays to have allies and people covering your back. Trust can be provisional. I don't trust myself unconditionally so I think it is unreasonable to see people as trustworthy or not. It is something that constantly being renegotiated as the time and situation changes.
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#225846 - 06/13/11 08:21 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Veteran
Registered: 12/05/05
Posts: 1563
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Great thoughts here
Just a small detour in the subject: what about if it was the reverse. The surviving guy accidently finds this woman fishing or cooking on her stove/campfire. Do you approach ? Do you leave ? Or do you think ( same as above scenario ) ?
My answer, just my answer. There is strength in numbers. I am an old guy ( 55+ yo ), not attractive enough to be raped LOL and could share a few bits of supplies and skills with someone else. So, I would approach, but first would make some noise like coughing etc. I don't want to be facing a startled person with a gun . LOL ... Nor do I want her to freak out and run in the opposite direction and injure herself.
I will give her enough time to say (Hi) or ( STOP right there!)
Jeanette
Forgive me as I didn't quite understand the ( more info ) thing. Maybe another strong cuppa coffee would help, LOL .
This is a possible ( hypothetical ) scenario that CAN happen. It is not an investigation of a true story that DID happen. I would agree that giving judgement about something that happend in reality needs more info, but for a hypotehetical scenario, we generally investigate the multiple possibilities with options...
So, if he was choppping wood, She should ... If he was fishing , she should ...
I think
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#225847 - 06/13/11 08:44 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Veteran
Registered: 12/05/05
Posts: 1563
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BTW, something like this DID happen in our neck of the woods. A guy was travelling in remote areas alone to join some freinds camping. He stopped for some tea and before moving noticed something far away. They were two lost girls( 5 & 12 yo ). Apparently their family was camping and they went to take a leak and lost their way back. When the two girls saw him approaching in his jeep, they just froze in their place.
Maybe they were too exhausted to run any way. Or maybe seeing a car approaching means ( rescue ) in the subconcious, more than seeing a man sitting at a campfire ! I don't know.
After some radio communication, their family was found and they came for the girls. The family campsite was 16 miles away !!
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#225850 - 06/13/11 01:32 PM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Carpal Tunnel
Registered: 11/13/06
Posts: 2985
Loc: Nacogdoches, Texas
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This is a possible ( hypothetical ) scenario that CAN happen. It is not an investigation of a true story that DID happen. I armchair hypothetical situations a lot. I never come to a conclusion for any of them based on such information you provided. Jeanette Isabelle
_________________________
I'm not sure whose twisted idea it was to put hundreds of adolescents in underfunded schools run by people whose dreams were crushed years ago, but I admire the sadism. -- Wednesday Adams, Wednesday
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#225901 - 06/14/11 02:24 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Chisel]
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Geezer
Registered: 01/21/04
Posts: 5163
Loc: W. WA
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It really depends... is she doing okay on her own, or is she desperate to revert to second-class citizen and have him take care of her?
For that matter, is HE a TechnoNerd who has no idea how to start a fire, find dry firewood, pick berries or catch a fish, and he needs a mommy to take care of him?
You know that line in The Addams Family movie: "I'm a homicidal maniac -- they look just like everyone else." Ted Bundy had no problem finding victims, because he didn't look dangerous.
If you don't need them, pass quietly, and look for a group, although there aren't any guarantees there, either.
Sue
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#225908 - 06/14/11 11:04 AM
Re: Possible scenario
[Re: Susan]
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Addict
Registered: 03/15/01
Posts: 518
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I agree with Sue: if you don't need him, pass. Neither your "instinct" nor your observations will tell you if he is or is not someone who will be motivated to try to harm you. Ted Bundy is a good examply - but AFIK very few such monsters looked scary enough to raise concern among their victims. I've read numerous "profiles", and I don't believe your observations regarding whether he looks like a choir boy or a creep would be much help.
Therefore you must assess his capacity to harm you. And your capacity to defend yourself. And the risk of injury even if you sucessfully defend yourself. And the risk if you don't take the risk... and go off on you own.
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