Originally Posted By: Arney
Originally Posted By: dweste
...cannot predict with any accuracy what will befall any one individual.

Just a quibble, but I don't think we should accept a blanket statement that biology or medicine can't predict what will happen to an individual. We do understand the mechanics about enough processes to know what will happen to certain people, such as those people with various genetic defects, such as for Huntington's disease.



I disagree that biology or medicine can predict what will happen to an individual. The problem lies in the fact that people, or biological systems in general, are not a uniform media. You can predict odds based on a population meeting X, Y, and Z criteria, but that's the limit of the science. The anatomy/chemistry/psychology of a single person is unique to that person, and a sample size of 1 is near useless without a complete understanding of the mechanisms (which we don't have).

The problem of variability also extends into pure hard sciences like metallurgy. A certain material, with a certain composition, unit cell structure, grain size and orientation, heat treat, forming process, etc. will still have variability in its properties. You can see the differences in A-basis (99% values with 95% confidence are greater then stated value), B-basis (90% values with 95% confidence are greater then stated value), and S-basis (industry specific) strengths for a particular material.
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