BTW, one area where WCT smacks me in the face is my IFAK. If I put 3 ABD pads in there, it seems like I should have 5. Then I add a roll of Kerlix and I think, "wouldn't 3 rolls be better?" You can see where this is headed! There's only so much room in my IFAK (a Maxpedition F.I.G.H.T., very nice bag but not huge). If I cram it full of gauze, I have no room for any meds. If I stuff in all the meds I can think of there's no space for hemostatics. And then I'll read an article about the guy who got shot thru both legs and needed two tourniquets! And I don't even have one!

There's gotta be a balance between prepared and realistic. A 20 lb FAK would solve any medical issue I'm competent to address but it would usually be sitting at home where it wouldn't help me. Stock as well as you can but the best kit is the kit you've got on you at the time.

EDIT: I just read the full article. Very nice! It shows what happens when we tend to think Black Swans are common occurrences.