Originally Posted By: Famdoc
As described in previous posts in this thread, the data are preliminary, as the number of infected but asymptomatic persons is unknown and will remain unknown for an unknown amount of tim....
If one assumes the infection and death rate from seasonal influenza in Wuhan, China is roughly the same as in the US, t
...


?confused?

whistle

Weekly U.S. Influenza Surveillance Report | CDC
Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on January 30, 2020, 6.7% of the deaths occurring during the week ending January 18, 2020 (week 3) were due to P&I. This percentage is below the epidemic threshold of 7.2% for week 3.

CDC estimates that so far this season there have been at least 19 million flu illnesses, 180,000 hospitalizations and 10,000 deaths from flu.



Originally Posted By: Alan_Romania

12,000 - 61,000 deaths
140,000 - 810,000 hospitalizations
9.4million - 45million illnesses


whistle


6.7% = 3.35 * 2%

10,000 / 180,000 = 5.5555556%
5.5555556% = 2.7777778 * 2



12,000 / 140,000 = 8.5714286%
8.5714286% = 4.2857143 * %2

61,000/810,000 = 7.5308642%
7.5308642% = 3.7654321 * 2%




:shrug:🤷
:|😐