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#236164 - 11/23/11 01:26 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
fooman Offline
Journeyman

Registered: 05/15/08
Posts: 78
Well, the car in water thing has happened to me before due to flash floods. Turned out to be waist deep as I got out of the car. Also discovered that power windows don't work after that. I now keep a seatbelt cutter and window hammer in the vehicle.

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#236172 - 11/23/11 02:38 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
ironraven Offline
Cranky Geek
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 09/08/05
Posts: 4642
Loc: Vermont
Low probability like being the wrong place and time when another shooter misses? I still think you should carry a "blow out" kit in your range bag and hunting gear, but statistically speaking it almost never happens.
_________________________
-IronRaven

When a man dare not speak without malice for fear of giving insult, that is when truth starts to die. Truth is the truest freedom.

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#236174 - 11/23/11 03:16 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
Bingley Offline
Veteran

Registered: 02/27/08
Posts: 1278
Originally Posted By: TeacherRO
Some scenarios are fun, sexy and not at all likely:


Sexy scenarios? Like being stranded on a tropical island with Natalie Portman and Emmanuelle Beart?

A man can dream.

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#236186 - 11/23/11 05:17 PM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: Bingley]
Leo Offline
Stranger

Registered: 12/27/09
Posts: 24
Loc: Colorado
During our train-up for Personal Security Detail (PSD) in Iraq we were taught to prepare, pre-plan and train for two scenerios with equal emphasis: the most likely thing that can happen and the worst thing that can happen.
leo


Edited by Leo (11/23/11 08:15 PM)

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#236397 - 11/28/11 04:48 PM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
TeacherRO Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 03/11/05
Posts: 2175
Zombies are interesting* but not factual

A cold is factual, but not interesting



* and popular!

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#236541 - 11/30/11 01:31 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
Susan Offline
Geezer

Registered: 01/21/04
Posts: 5163
Loc: W. WA
Here in WA, we have floods: 10-yr floods, 50-yr floods, 100-yr floods, 500-yr floods. The strange thing is that we've had three 100-yr floods in less than 20 yrs. Maybe it's just Ma Nature messing with the actuarys' minds.

Have you noticed that the Law of Averages never says 'never'?

If it happens once in 10,000 years and you're the one standing under the lightning bolt, you just feel different about the odds, somehow.

Sue

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#236567 - 11/30/11 05:02 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
TeacherRO Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 03/11/05
Posts: 2175
Good point -- But don't put all your thoughts or equipment into lighting proofing, its still not all that likely.


Edited by TeacherRO (11/30/11 05:15 PM)

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#236579 - 11/30/11 06:48 AM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
Susan Offline
Geezer

Registered: 01/21/04
Posts: 5163
Loc: W. WA
Actually, the odds are more likely for a person to be struck by lightning than to win a lottery.

NOAA says about 40 people are killed by lightning each year, and about 360 are injured by it. The odds are 'only' 1/10,000 that you will be hit in your lifetime.

Where's my tin foil hat?

Sue

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#236899 - 12/06/11 08:51 PM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
TeacherRO Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 03/11/05
Posts: 2175
More interesting, but highly unlikely events;

Cougar attacks ( the cat kind)

Ufo/ Zombie uprising or super eight being a viable format.

Rappelling in any way shape or form


Boring but quite likely;

Stuck in the airport

Kitchen/ engine fire

Loss of electric power

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#236915 - 12/06/11 11:03 PM Re: Playing the odds - interesting but not factual [Re: TeacherRO]
TeacherRO Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 03/11/05
Posts: 2175
Um yes. I assumed that one is not LEO or active duty.

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