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#166949 - 02/12/09 03:32 AM major error weather forcast by Acuweather
picard120 Offline
Old Hand

Registered: 07/10/05
Posts: 763
I notice a significant error in weather forcast.

Accuweather forecast temperature differ by several degrees from the weather network.

How can this error vary so much? I rely on weather network since I found it to be more accurate. Accuweather report the temp in Toronto only plus 3 when it is suppose to be plus 7 degrees Celcius.

Is the weather network more reliable than other weather channels?

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#166950 - 02/12/09 03:46 AM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: picard120]
Blast Offline
INTERCEPTOR
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 07/15/02
Posts: 3760
Loc: TX
Wait a minute, computer models of weather aren't accurate?!

whistle
-Blast
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#166954 - 02/12/09 06:10 AM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: Blast]
Todd W Offline
Product Tester
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 11/14/04
Posts: 1928
Loc: Mountains of CA
L O L@ Blast.

The nearest station is like across a river and in another county.. ya not very accurate. The nearest town is always +10 or -10. They may have no snow while I get 1ft.... ya not accurate... I guess that's how it is when you are not in a HUGE CITY.

We had winter storm warning last night 10 to 20" of snow... we got 4". Then snow today we got .2" until I left at 5pm then we had 4" in 2 hours, and climbing... hmmm.

_________________________
Self Sufficient Home - Our journey to self sufficiency.

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#166960 - 02/12/09 12:54 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: Todd W]
unimogbert Offline
Old Hand

Registered: 08/10/06
Posts: 882
Loc: Colorado
You're worried about a three degree variation?

You ought to try being a PILOT and THEN you'll see why you need to do your own wx forecasting.

The weather guesser is like the stockpickers on MSNBC. They do the best they can but none get fired for being wrong so they don't get much better nor apologize for being blatantly wrong.

Have you heard that the issue is no longer "global warming?"
It's now "global climate change." Just to be sure all the bases are covered ;-)


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#167005 - 02/12/09 11:07 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: picard120]
ironraven Offline
Cranky Geek
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 09/08/05
Posts: 4642
Loc: Vermont
*laughs*

Four degrees celcius....

I've seen that much of a temperature change in three miles.

It isn't an exact science.
_________________________
-IronRaven

When a man dare not speak without malice for fear of giving insult, that is when truth starts to die. Truth is the truest freedom.

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#167012 - 02/12/09 11:47 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: picard120]
Be_Prepared Offline
Addict

Registered: 12/07/04
Posts: 530
Loc: Massachusetts
I'm happy if they can tell the difference between blizzards and sunny days grin or maybe if I need to start building an ark or something? Beyond that, I don't have a lot of faith in them.
_________________________

- Ron

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#167029 - 02/13/09 04:00 AM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: NightHiker]
Desperado Offline
Veteran

Registered: 11/01/08
Posts: 1530
Loc: DFW, Texas
18 years ago, I met a full bird colonel that had been a weather forecaster for longer than I have been alive now. We were out in the field on a two week FTX. Storms were brewing and he was watching the radar in the weather guys mobile weather lab. I was asking all the good questions like "what is tomorrows weather like" and "why can't they ever get the weather right on TV".

His response was "that is why meteorologist call each other weather GUESSERS"

Right after that he asked me where the nearest building with a basement was. Then he pointed to the radar and said "That is a tornado headed this way, we have less than 10 min. to find a hole to hide in."

We were in a GP Medium tent at the time.....
_________________________
I do the things that I must, and really regret, are unfortunately necessary.

RIP OBG

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#167039 - 02/13/09 01:14 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: Desperado]
airballrad Offline
Gear Junkie
Enthusiast

Registered: 10/22/07
Posts: 248
Loc: Gulf Coast Florida, USA
Desperado, you have some great stories. You better finish that one! Did he guess right? wink

To the Original Poster: You're technically inclined and currently seeking a job; maybe this could be a new career? In all seriousness...

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#167043 - 02/13/09 03:04 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: airballrad]
UncleGoo Offline
Enthusiast

Registered: 12/06/06
Posts: 390
Loc: CT
There really are only three temperatures: "too hot," "too cold," and "this'll do, pass me a margarita."
_________________________
Improvise,
Utilize,
Realize.

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#167060 - 02/13/09 09:20 PM Re: major error weather forcast by Acuweather [Re: airballrad]
Desperado Offline
Veteran

Registered: 11/01/08
Posts: 1530
Loc: DFW, Texas
Yeah, it was about 1/4 of a mile away to the south, moving west to east.
We could only see it in the lightning flashes.
Fine with me it got no closer.

I have also been accused of being a bullet magnet.


Edited by Desperado (02/13/09 10:50 PM)
_________________________
I do the things that I must, and really regret, are unfortunately necessary.

RIP OBG

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