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#158848 - 12/18/08 02:25 AM death map
MartinFocazio Offline

Pooh-Bah

Registered: 01/21/03
Posts: 2203
Loc: Bucks County PA
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,468325,00.html

"A new map plotting deaths resulting from forces of nature reveals where Mother Nature is most likely to kill you."

Note to self: avoid Arizona & Utah




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#158855 - 12/18/08 03:41 AM Re: death map [Re: MartinFocazio]
OldBaldGuy Offline
Geezer

Registered: 09/30/01
Posts: 5695
Loc: Former AFB in CA, recouping fr...
link ...
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#158862 - 12/18/08 04:23 AM Re: death map [Re: OldBaldGuy]
Chris Kavanaugh Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 02/09/01
Posts: 3824
Yes indeed!
To paraphrase the late Ed Abbey of Utah and Arizona,
Stay out of the noonday sun, bring lots of water, pray frequently, and ABBEY'S ROAD- take the other.
Throws a leg over a ghost horse with bridle reins held by Jack Burns, aka The Lone Ranger and rides off to catch the always exhilarating sunrise of a new day with a cup of black coffee.


Edited by Chris Kavanaugh (12/18/08 04:24 AM)

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#158870 - 12/18/08 05:21 AM Re: death map [Re: MartinFocazio]
CANOEDOGS Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 02/03/07
Posts: 1853
Loc: MINNESOTA

the problem with these maps is that they take the information by county.that gives a somewhat distorted view. for example the long red box in Northeast corner of Minnesota is St.Louis and the light red to the East is Lake county.my prime canoe country.
i have no idea of what the "nature danger" could be up there.you could drown or freeze to death just about anyplace in Minnesota..that long red box could be reduced to a few tiny dots if the places where the real danger was..same with any spot on that map...sort of intresting though to find out what event put those countys on the map--

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#158873 - 12/18/08 05:34 AM Re: death map [Re: CANOEDOGS]
Jakam
Unregistered


Canoedogs, I just left the last post you did- and agree with you here as well- seems weather weighted pretty heavily, for instance, AZ is hot, of course, but folks that live there know how to deal with it (except the ones desperately crossing the border unprepared, maybe that is the skew).

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#158876 - 12/18/08 05:46 AM Re: death map [Re: ]
CANOEDOGS Offline
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 02/03/07
Posts: 1853
Loc: MINNESOTA
Jakam..and i was wondering if it was the winter auto crashes in Duluth and the Iron Range towns that made that bit of Minnesota looks so bad and not the sort of weather and other "nature" events that us outdoor types may run into--

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#158880 - 12/18/08 07:46 AM Re: death map [Re: Chris Kavanaugh]
AROTC Offline
Addict

Registered: 05/06/04
Posts: 604
Loc: Manhattan
"Mad dogs and Englishmen go out in the mid day sun."

Notice also that Yellowstone park is a big red blotch. More then dead tourists who didn't know what was dangerous and what was less dangerous?
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A gentleman should always be able to break his fast in the manner of a gentleman where so ever he may find himself.--Good Omens

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#158890 - 12/18/08 01:48 PM Re: death map [Re: AROTC]
GarlyDog Offline
τΏτ
Old Hand

Registered: 04/05/07
Posts: 776
Loc: The People's Republic of IL
I would like to know more about "Other".

It seems dangerous pretty much everywhere.


Edited by GarlyDog (12/18/08 01:49 PM)
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#158903 - 12/18/08 02:32 PM Re: death map [Re: GarlyDog]
benjammin Offline
Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
So Bogus!

Look at the state line between Nevada and Utah and tell me how crossing that line going west somehow makes living that much easier???!!!

Statistics, damned statistics, and lies. Maybe this map would be better labeled "Level of Stupidity per populace". It would make more sense then anyways.
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools.
-- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)

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#158911 - 12/18/08 02:58 PM Re: death map [Re: benjammin]
Am_Fear_Liath_Mor Offline
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 08/03/07
Posts: 3078
I'm sure this report will reinforce the idea that mother nature is out to kill them, whilst city folks tuck into a double cheese burger, fries and Corn syrup coke, with a packet of 20 Benson and Hedge's and a bottle of Jack Daniels put aside for later, whilst watching a drive by shooting from the safety of their Buick Rendezvous... whistle



Edited by Am_Fear_Liath_Mor (12/18/08 03:00 PM)

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#158916 - 12/18/08 03:23 PM Re: death map [Re: benjammin]
KenK Offline
"Be Prepared"
Pooh-Bah

Registered: 06/26/04
Posts: 2208
Loc: NE Wisconsin
This is where I have to admit to all of my ETS friends that I'm a statistician by profession. Given that, I tend to look at most of these kinds of studies with some level of doubt, and I ALWAYS wonder about the objectives/incentives of those who are doing the studies.

One thing to keep in mind is that this map is simply showing fives levels of mortality. From a county perspective, someone has to be on the high side and somebody has to be on the low side. Does that really mean anything? I haven't a clue.

The data were from a 34 year period. Would the results be the same for the previous 34 year period (not that the data are likely available)? Or from the next 34 year period? If they split the data into three 10 year chunks, would each of the time periods have the same result?

I think I'd be very interested in knowing the range of the mortality rates - from lowest to highest. If its not that wide a range, then this is all of little real significance - just random differences.

If they'd have measured some characteristic that had absolutely no impact from geographic location - maybe something like telephone defect rates - the map could very well have looked just like the one shown. Does it mean anything?? Not really.

In the end I suspect that the numbers of people who die from reasons other than "forces of nature" are so much higher that we're talking about buckets in an ocean here.

Ken

Ken

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#158918 - 12/18/08 03:30 PM Re: death map [Re: KenK]
username_5 Offline
Journeyman

Registered: 12/16/08
Posts: 54
Kind of on topic, does anyone have a working link to one of those maps where you put in a zip code or other location and the yield of a nuke and then it displays the blast area and likely fallout area?

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#158920 - 12/18/08 04:07 PM Re: death map [Re: username_5]
Blast Offline
INTERCEPTOR
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 07/15/02
Posts: 3760
Loc: TX
Quote:
does anyone have a working link to one of those maps where you put in a zip code or other location and the yield of a nuke and then it displays the blast area and likely fallout area?


Try this one:
Nuking Google Maps

-Blast
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#158946 - 12/18/08 06:50 PM Re: death map [Re: Am_Fear_Liath_Mor]
Susan Offline
Geezer

Registered: 01/21/04
Posts: 5163
Loc: W. WA
It doesn't look like it makes much sense to me.

"People living in the South along the Atlantic and Gulf Coasts have a higher likelihood of dying from a natural hazard compared to residents of the Great Lakes area and urbanized Northeast."

But the map doesn't really show that, does it?

It appears to me that many of the larger red areas are popular travel destinations: Flagstaff to the Grand Canyon, Lake Tahoe to Yosemite, Glen Canyon to Canyonlands to Arches/Moab, Aspen CO ski areas, Black Canyon of the Gunnison, the Adirondacks, Pine Ridge NE, Black Hills/Badlands of SD, Columbia River Gorge (WA/OR), etc.

So you get people with little wilderness experience or preparation who flock to these popular, scenic areas, and they get lost and die of hypothermia and hypothermia (even if they fell and broke their leg, they probaby died from one or the other).

And they say they were killed by Nature. Huh-uh.

Someone probably got paid a lot of money to sift through causes of death, and came up with this.

Pfffffttt!

Sue


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#158959 - 12/18/08 07:26 PM Re: death map [Re: Susan]
benjammin Offline
Rapscallion
Carpal Tunnel

Registered: 02/06/04
Posts: 4020
Loc: Anchorage AK
You got it,

It's a Bill Engvall "Here's your sign" map as far as I'm concerned.

I wonder, could they really map out "death by stupid" like this? Where do you suppose all the red would be then?
_________________________
The ultimate result of shielding men from the effects of folly is to fill the world with fools.
-- Herbert Spencer, English Philosopher (1820-1903)

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